AmericanPapist Comments
For Huckabee still being in it is easy to figure out. If he ends up with more delegates than Romney than he is #2. In GOP history #2 usually end up getting the nomination at some future point.
Do you have a preference between the HRC and Obama as to whom you would like to see up against McCain in the fall?
If somehow I was the deciding superdelegate vote I would probably wish for Hillary. Those who watch these things more closely than I say she would be easier to defeat in the general election. And honestly, there's something to be said for knowing the problems you are getting given the fact that Obama is a wild card who raises plenty of concerns.
Jeff, true, but won't folks just surmise that Huck only got #2 because of Romney's absence? And if that is Huckabee's intention, I should hope he'd have the sincerity to be honest about that, and cease his extended conferences of one-liners designed to deflect the genuine questions his continuing to campaign raises about who he's in the race for - himself, or the best interests of the GOP and/or America.
anyway, it's not a major issue to me, i'm just looking for some clarity.
Interesting that in Wisconsin (which has an open primary) Catholics strongly chose to vote in the Democratic Primary. Probably indicates that Wisconsin will go Democratic ths year due to Catholic voters.
"Probably indicates that Wisconsin will go Democratic this year due to Catholic voters."
Frightening and a real shame if it does.
Because of the electoral college system, it is the state by state data that really matters. It seems that all of the states that voted for both Gore and Kerry are likely (but not sure) to vote Democratic again. New Hampshire and Iowa also look good for the Democrats. Missouri, Ohio, Nevada and Colorado are the bellweathers. In Florida, Clinton beats McCain but McCain beats Obama. In most other swing states, Obama is the stronger candidate.
The news story is press is missing however is that while it is clear the presidential race will be close, the Democrats are sure to pick up Senate seats -- 4 would be the best guess. House races look equally gloomy for the GOP. Democrats should hold most of the 30 seat gain from 2004 (a surprising feat in itself) and even have the GOP on the run in the seats were the Republican incumbent is retiring.
This may be why conservatives are so anti-McCain. He might be a perfectly orthodox conservative given a free hand, but with Pelosi and Reid starting from even stronger positions than now, what kind of deal will a results-oriented man like McCain cut?
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