Not suprisingly, they've picked up US DoND for another run, likely in March after the Olympics.....without giving away anything, last night's ep was the best yet.


I wonder if it'll be a permanent fixture or whether they'll go for several week-long strips.

Either way, great stuff.


A couple of interesting things from DS forum.

There is an article of Media Guardian site about a possible primetime version along with pictures of other countries versions (you will need to fill in free registration).

http://media.guardian.co.uk/ broa...1673030,00.html

Plus someone spotted a continuity error in yesterday's show (bottom post on page)

http://forum.digitalspy.co.uk/bo...2&page=44& pp=25


That is one hell of a continuity error *gasps* Thought Endemol wouldn't make an error of that magnitude! Can't believe I didn't notice it...


And here we go. Last episode before Christmas, and I'll commentate along with the willing others.


Willing here.

Very different intro today.


("Except one. What do you want Santa to bring you for Christmas? It's Deal or No Deal.")


Wow, they're going for the Christmas theme big time here. Bear in mind this was recorded ages ago.


So far this week we've had wins of £17K, £18K, £24K and £50K a total of £109,000 given away but with peak offers of £309,000.

Will today break the trend?


Today's player is Simon (not me unfortunately). All the players are dressed in Xmas fancy dress.


Everyone is in... Various festive headware. Simon's today's player, and is wearing an elf hat. Or is that a Link hat. Same thing, reguardless of which it is. And a tincil collar style necklace.

Takes them off during Noel's chat with him.


Simon said he 'had no idea' he was playing this time. We know otherwise.


I thought the players were picked at random, KP.


Here we go with the first 5

Box 20 (Terry) £10
Box 14 (Gavin) £20,000


4 nice blocks of 5 now.


Box 20 - Terry - £10
Box 14 - Gavin - £20,000

He's doing the horizontal symmatry, it seems.


Terry the Statistican is 'in to bat'. Box 20 contains £10. 'Great start' indeed.
Box 14. Gavin. 'We would like you to continue in that vein'. He doesn't, but £20,000 is no disaster. 'Less of a reaction from the players' notes Noel. The middle of the board is perfectly dissected.
Noel talks up the £250k.
Box 22 (BOOYEAH!). Andy. £5,000. A low red is fine.


We'll have to ask Dave to see if they really know.
Box 19 with Irene, who's gone crazy. Noel jokes she's on the sherry. Sherry's red, isn't it? And so's her box. £100,000.


Box 22 (Andy) £5,000
Box 19 (Irene) £100,000 (big amount taken out again early)
Box 12 (Alan) 50p


Missed box number £15,000
Box 19 - Irene. A Pixie who's suffering terrably. She got the sherry early according to Noel. Noel wants to give her a cuddle and comments that she's totally off the wall. - £100k. Not a disaster, but not desireable.
Box 12 - 50p


You'd expect every other contestant, at least, to keep the big two. Hardly anyone has lately.

Oh, there goes 10p.


FD of £8,634.80
Mean of £25,921
Median of £750


Banker doesn't believe in Christmas and thinks Simon is a gambler.

Opening offer of £2,200.


Banker plays the Scrooge role, obviously. 'I don't believe in Christmas'.

Offer will be average, I'd say...

...£2,200. I'd call that fairly average.


Noel says that someone, eventually, will take the first-round offer...

...Simon won't be that person, obv. No Deal.


The Banker goes for a desperate attempt at a modern day Scrooge, apparantly, and classes Simon as a gambler.

Board may as well not have had any change based on the stats. £2,200 offer. Board's worth around £8,500, which may as well be the £9000 starting, by my interpritation of them.

The expected No Deal.


NO DEAL of course.


Bah, missed the first few minutes. I'm sure I thought of the idea of them all wearing silly hats ages ago. Though my idea consisted of them all wearing Santa ones.

The Banker 'doesn't believe in Christmas'. I wonder if it's too late to do A Deal or No Deal Christmas Carol, where the Banker gets visted by three ghosts...


'Don't hit the big numbers and all of that nonsense will change'.

Box 1 with Michael. £75,000. One-box game already. 'Ho ho ho' he says, ironically.


As the £75k goes Noel manages to make the phrase "Ho ho ho" sound appropriate to the occasion.


And there goes the fiver, which goes down nicely.
And that's Gerry. Is that the one from Inverness who came here? £10,000 went, and nobody is sure how to react. This will be an offer-after-the-break trick, then. £3k, I reckon.


'He maintains that you will find this offer a great surprise'.

Offer after the break, indeed.


And no continuity error that time.

£10k up for grabs in the Legalised Telephone Lottery today.


Box 1 (Michael) £75,000

Looking like another 1 box game.

Box 15 (Jenni) £5


FD at £7,391
Absolute Balance at -10
Significant Balance at 3/7; -1
Mean at £25,404

No, at this stage we don't mind £10k, however on that board we'd have prefered not to see it.

The offer will be a great suprise, apparantly, and revealed after the break.

I'd suggest the board is worth £6,750, and expect a round to offer on this board of £2,000ish. A suprising offer would be one either above £3,000 or below £1,500 with this board at this stage.


*round two offer, not round to offer, sorry.


(median is £625 incidently)


And we're back.

A 'weaker' position, says Noel, but he adds that he can afford to lose £3k.

£4,700 offer is high for this stage in a one-box game.


We're back with an offer of £4,700. Yes, that is a suprising offer at this stage with that board. Not really worth it on this board at this stage, however.


NO DEAL


No Deal. If £250k goes in the next three this could be the 1p game.


A No Deal. As expected.


Box 4 (Robbie) £1
Box 18 (Gill) £100


Box 6 (Max) £50,000


£1 in Box 4. 'Perfect start to a crucial round'.
Jill with Box 18. £100. The momentum is swinging, and the FD is above the starting value.
Max with Box 6. 'This is so simple - could we please just pick off one of those blues and turn the whole game around?' £50,000. Crowd are horrified.


FD of £7,759.97
Mean of £27,777
Median of £750

Now definitely a 1 box game.


Noel anticipates a trap. We'll see.

'This is going to be interesting'. This worries Simon because he wants a no-brainer decision.

£3,000 is not interesting, and he saw it coming.


Noel says offer is interesting. Simon says he doesn't want an interesting offer that he has to think about

and an offer of £3,000 isn't one to think about.


Not all that good a round. The FD is staying a fairly neutral, the mean is raising. The Balances... Going closer to zilch than they were.

Stats are Median at £750, mean at £27,777.
FD at £7,760
Absolute Balance -6
Significant Balance 5/11; 0

The board's worth about £7,700 here.

Simon doesn't want to think. The offer is £3000. Noel thinks it's an interesting offer. IT's an offer that forces a playon to try and coax away the £250k from the boxes.


A very quick NO DEAL.


The expected No Deal and we move onwards.


About 50/50 chance of not taking out 2 big amounts now.

Box 13 (Lynsey £3,000


Box 13 (ooooooh). Lindsay reveals £3,000.
Box 2. Arlette. £50! Super!
Box 9. Nick. After the break surely. He never has feelings for his boxes. 'I've only had two high numbers'. Like that means anything. Noel is worried and offers a change... but he turns it down in style.

'This is the one', indeed. What a long-winded run to the break.


Box 2 (Arlette) £50
Box 9 (Nick) - Speed round BTW

Nick says he picked the ball with his left hand and the only 2 times he's done that he has had big amounts. Noel asks if he wants to change his mind.

He doesn't and the box contains ..

an amount to be found out after the break.


50.9% chance (to be precise) of not hitting both of big amounts.


This game is looking like a disaster at any moment...


We go to a break with a box drawn by Nick's left hand waiting to be opened (which is a case of the only times Nick took a box with his left hand in the past has come up high numbers, everything else has been a low number from Nick, apparantly). I'd like to point out that little theory that we only notice things that conform to our expectations and not things that are contrary to them here, so it's not that I disbelieve Nick on this, it's more that human perception shows this into a significant shadow of doubt.

Anyway - stats at the second break. Mean is £33,611. Median is still £750.

FD is £10,160.
Absolute balance is -3
Significant Balance is 5/9; +1

Normally with these stats I'd say we could afford to lose £15k, possably even £35k. With the state of the board, however, I'd say we can't in this case. We need this to be £1k or lower.


So, after all that, does he have the big one?
No! 10p!


And we're back....

with box 9 containing 10p

FD of £12,849.31
Mean of £37,813
Medain of £875


Banker thinks Simon is talking the board up and offers £13,000


The Banker accuses Simon of 'talking the board up' and being a gambler.

The offer has improved. Of course.

To £13,000!


And we have a No Deal.


Simon pre-empts Noel by saying he won't get another shot at £250k.

He'll turn this down, I suspect.

...lots of close-ups of the others...

...NO DEAL.


This is either going to be a triumph or a disaster now.


Stats are FD of £12,849.
Absolute Balance at +7
Significant Balance at 5/8; +3

This offer is "Stuffing Simon's Turkey" according to the banker.

Offer of £13,000 is probably a little less than the boards worth, but is definitely within the realms of fear on this board.

The thing of note here the offer is probably to avoid £250k in the final five. And there's a slightly higher than 50% chance of losing the £35k or the £250k at this point (conversely, the same can be said of the 1p and the £250).

A No Deal is what we have, however.


Box 11. Dave always starts a round, doesn't he? £250,000!


Box 11 (Dave) £250,000.

GAME OVER.


...not a good result for the last show before Christmas.


Dave with Box 11. And the £250k. Ouch. Not a total disaster, yet, however. I've been focussing on the £35k and the £15k for quite a while now, with the £250k simply as an offer propper upper.


Box 16 (Julie) 1p


lumps of coal for Simon then....oy..


1 extreme to the other

Final box 10 (Michael) £500


'At least you're not going home with 1p'.

The top three blues and three relatively low reds, intersting.

£500 in Box 10. Good.

This will be a joke offer.


Technically losing the £250k and the 1p is the scenario I think should be assumed to happen at the round of eight stage. and the loss of the £500 really puts the focus onto the £35k and the £15k.


FD of £5,909.85
Mean of £10,400
Median of £1,000


Did the loss of £250k end the game? Actually it extended it, because £250k and not a lot else in the final five is a Deal no matter what.


About £6,000 offer now I reckon.


True KP, I meant game over in the sense of a huge win.


'We knew it was going to come down'...

...Simon anticipates another £3k offer.

...£4,000. 70% chance of a better offer and a minimum of £250 is a no-brainer.


Offer of £4,000


Offer of £4000 is... Below what I'd deal at, I think. There is only a 30% chance of losing both the £35k and the £15k, afterall. And if one of those remains, the offer is going to at least double. I'd say No Deal here.


I agree totally, it ended the chance of a big win. Still, the game was going to end just like yesterday's if he'd steered clear of Dave until box one of the proveout. (As seemingly everyone else has done, I've found.)

No Deal at £4k, surely? Surely? Yes.


I'd no deal this

and so does my namesake.


Offer will go up unless he hits both big amounts now.

Next box £1,000


Box 17. Pat. Three to hit, two to miss. £1,000. Yes. Only a one-in-six chance of a disaster.
Box 3. Angie. Noel says she's always called upon at critical moments. £15,000. One-box game.


Box 3 (Angela) £15,000


...OK now we can worry. The £15k has gone.


James went through the top three from the lowest one down to go from five figures to £10 plus JSA.

Box 21. Louise. Noel says this is the most important box in weeks, and Simon can't look. £35,000! Game over now.


2/3 chance of a 5-figure offer
1/3 chance of £500 ish

Box 21 (Louise) £35,000.

OUCH


Ok, NOW it's game over. Nasty.


The offer is £400. He'll turn this down.


£400 offer.

Might as well no deal.


£35k. It was the 30% chance.

He may as well play on here, whatever the offer.

An offer of £400, doesn't change that.


Just to rub it in, it's the £250.


And just to rub things in completely ....

Box contains £250.


And he does have £250. 'The unluckiest game we have ever had' he says. It's not far off.


It's the £250. Ouch.

And I don't know about 'unluckiest', we've had 10p and £10 before now.


Viewer wins 8 times Simon's amount - £2,000 goes to Sara in Bradford.


TBW then - clean sweep for banker wins this week.


Seems odd saying this after that, but this was the third best week according to mean winnings, and not far behind the second best week.

...It starts snowing on both Noel and on the camera during his parting, incidently.

Heck, despite this week being one day shorter than any other week, it has been the third best result by total amount given away with the total of £109,250. Only the fourth week that gave away more than £100k, in fact.

And Friday still has a mean giveaway value above £30k, despite having had two of the three values below £1000. (though it's had three of the eight values above £30k as well)


378-122 to the banker this week.


Like to wish everyone a Merry Christmas. See you all next week.


Are you sure that's only a TBW? Looks to be more like an OBW.


it's an OBW....3rd OBW in a row....2735-1965 overall (banker has baan on a roll the last couple of weeks)


Total banker win is:

3:If the player takes ANY deal and it is lower than the box value, it is a Outright Banker win (100-0 Banker)
4:If the player keeps the box and it turns out to be lower than the maximum bank offer, it is an Outright Banker win (100-0 Banker)


Gerry from Inverness will be playing as GEORDIE


> Everyone is in... Various festive headware. Simon's today's player, and is wearing an elf hat. Or is that a Link hat. Same thing, reguardless of which it is. And a tincil collar style necklace.

They do costume specials on the French show quite regularly I gather.

> I thought the players were picked at random, KP.

I don't believe for one second the player is picked at random (and although the flashing screen gives this impression, I believe it to be misdirection). However at the same time, I don't think the players know when it's going to be their turn to be picked before the recording, although if any players would like to share than please do.

Merry Christmas everyone!


Does Simon Cowley has a friend who is a neighbor named Nick Bain


Name:

Email:

URL:

Comment:  ? 


 

Commenting by HaloScan