Wasn't Blackwell a Democrat when he was Cincinnati's mayor?
What a great blog !
Very interesting to read you from...brussels (Belgium).
Really !
Have a good day !
Reno
A bit of good news! Very refreshing!
Very Good News, indeed. If there is a God who cares about Ohio (as Mr. Blackwell is always so quick to remind us there is) then Ken Blackwell will be defeated in November.
Blackwell was a Charterite on city council. He was a Democrat, tho.
The man will use whatever party is advatageous to him at the time.
Little Kenny Boy doesn't know what he wants to be when he groes up. That's why he was a member of three political parties while on council.
When has raising money been a problem for Republicans? This is the corporate party, remember. There is no shortage of money. All it takes is a few calls from Uncle Carl, and everything will be set.
If Uncle Carl can muster up $30k for a pathetic loser like Jean Schmidt, he can sure muster up a lot more for little Kenny B.
It's not a matter of getting the money, it is matter of giving it to Ken. The National guys may at somepoint write off the Ohio Governor's race, and instead give it to Mike DeWine, who has a much better shot at winning. I am shocked Dewine is at all in trouble, but not sorry about it. 
It is important to look at this poll. It was a poll dependent on voters mailing in their opinions. Perhaps a good prediction of voter attitude but not a good prediction of actual numbers. It does show that ohio voters are angry but we knew that.
The Wall Street Journal Zogby Interactive Poll today indicated Republican gubernatorial nominee Ken Blackwell is in a close race with Congressman and former prison psychologist Ted Strickland. Blackwell trails Strickland by 4.6 points with a 3.2 percent margin of error. The survey mirrors a June 22 Zogby poll showing Blackwell trailing Strickland by only five points and a May 25 University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll showing Blackwell trailing Strickland by six points.
http://online.wsj.com/public/res...sAd=1&
mod=blogs
Every other poll cited on that website has Strickland up by 20, 13, and 23 points. The 20 pointer is the dispatch poll.
so there is a poll to make everyone happy this early. sounds pretty typical to me
I think it's probably safe to assume Strickland isn't ACTUALLY winning by 20 points right now. And I don't think Brown is winning, based on other polls. The Dispatch poll is probably a bit of an outlier.
But does Strickland hold a lead? Would he win decisively if the election were tomorrow? I think the answer to that is a clear yes.
Polls vary widely, but do have some common threads to them: Blackwell, despite being the far-better-known candidate, has not been over 40% in any poll I've seen so far. Bad news for him.
And by the way, don't give me that "the poll's not accurate because too many Democrats responded" crap.
More Democrats responding is an indication of the Democrats' relative strength, not an indication of polling bias.
Presumably, a certain number of people who would have self-identified as Republicans or Independents generally in Ohio are now answering "Democrat" after 8 years of Bob Taft...
The only important question here is who would Jesus vote for --
"And by the way, don't give me that "the poll's not accurate because too many Democrats responded" crap."
The poll isn't accurate becuase it is a mail-in poll. It is perhaps an accurate measure of voter attitude (showing lots of angry voters who will vote for Strickland) but not as a typical poll. To take it a step further, what if the poll required you to mail in your response and 5 dollars? Even more inaccurate.
Don't get me wrong...I am sure Blackwell is probably down significantly (maybe 10 pts or so?)...but this is a stupid poll.
C'mon people...you guys are bright-think about WHO would respond to a mail-in poll during the present times.
This poll may well hurt Strickland. Nothing like the smell of possible defeat to make the Army Of God gird their jeezus lovin' loins for battle and show up in record numbers at the polling stations. While it's true that the RNC might be inclined to focus resources on their Senatorial candidate, giving up on Blackwell as a lost cause, how many holy-rolling preachers will be inciting their congregations to vote for the god-fearing colored boy?
Ok, Bottom line: Blackwell is far behind. He needs money to win, which he can still do. Will he get enough money to buy ads to smear Strickland and put the fear of the Devil in the minds of his stormtroopers?
People in office like Blackwell and GWB prove God has abandoned us.
It looks like the US will live under tyranny for most of the 21st century.
Actually, the Dispatch poll has historically been accurate.
http://www.mysterypollster.com/
m...back_to_th.html
But, you keep telling yourself that it's a useless poll, Nathan.
Maybe it will cheer you up after your little anti-gay amendement went down in DC.
I think the race is pretty close. Not that I have anything empirical to back that up. Ralph Reed's defeat has got to have the Blackwell camp nervous. Hopefully that was just the Abramhoff connection.
20 points when the three other most recent polls are ~10pts...not accurate in this case.
Besides, in presidential races both sides are typically more likely to be electrified and therefore more likely to respond. As I was talking to others (yes I know this is an anecdote) casually about this poll most reported they would not have responded. The majority did say they would have responded in 2004. This does not mean they will not vote (all will).
It is a great indication that the D's are angry and will vote and the R's could potentially sit on their hands (the libertarian types) but you have to account for the voters who are not energized. This time around that is the Republicans as many are unhappy with Taft, etc.
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