Be nice!

Gravatar K...

Great post and interview as always. You are among the top 30 blogs defining the "gold standard" in the blogosphere.

I have posted and commented on EMP before and you responded by saying that (in your view) an EMP is unlikely. Again... I think that given the intelligence profile... (see Iranian modifications to Kilo class subs in their possession... Shihab 4 missiles... and purchase of ballistic missiles see this post of mine...[http://tinfoilhatguy.blogspot.com/2006/01/ iran-is-heating-up-check-out-following.html#links] )Iran is gearing up for a few, not many, high yield weapons. One of them I suspect is targeted for EMP. I believe that they will look for help from China and Russia to accomplish this strategy. I hope I am wrong... but as you say... my spidey senses say otherwise...

tinfoilhatguy


Gravatar Tinfoil - Thanks for the comment, the kudos and the links. Top-29 here we come!

If you re-read my parenthetical comment, you will see that I am unsure about Iran's ability to pull off a high-yield, high-altitude EMP detonation on their first try (and with luck they will only have one try). Which is different from seeing it as unlikely. It's also why I appreciate having folks like Mauro and yourself adding to the debate.

I also remain unconvinced that a bunch of fried toasters and a week or two in the dark is the kind of terror they have in mind or if it is, that it will have the effect they would hope for - technically, emotionally, politically or militarily (i.e., capitulation).

Having had an inside seat on the repair and rebuilding of some key elements of NYC infrastructure after 9-11, I also remain bullish on our ability to be resilient under such circumstances.

All that said, I would not be surprised if they attempted an EMP blast, particularly in combination with other nasty surprises. None of this should be construed as reason to let down our guard. On the 'umbrella theory', (doesn't rain if you bring one), I am very happy that the folks who ought to be thinking about this are doing so.


Gravatar I do have to say, one would hope that the infrastructure people have some kind of protections, as well as preparations, in place for this scenario.

I'm sure the military people do, I'm curious just what the civilian groups have in place for an uber-Katrina.

I do concur that knocking out the power grid for a month or so isn't going to do much more than beat the beehive with a stick. You want to get the people of the USA pissed off and willing to take out the entirety of the government of Iran, that would be the way to do it.

Sad to say, it may well take that sort of event to snap us fully away from the current Chamberlainism.

I, personally, really don't get it. It ties to the momification of America. Too much of current ethical-moral social constucts are Mom-based and not Dad-based. You need a balance between the two, and we no longer have it. It is this Mom-based ethos which drives Chamberlainism.


Gravatar Momification? I haven't heard that one before. I like it because it makes sense.
K ... great interview. Clear, informative and frightening. As far as Ahmadinejad goes, he scares me more than most of the bunch. A man who thinks he'll never lose has nothing to lose.
Best




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