I'd move Syria up to #2, same odds, and Jordan down to the bottom and make the bottom three much higher odds. I'd also put NK (even if Kim falls dead in his popcorn) off the chart and replace it with Canada at 501:1 just cause the piss me off. And I choose option (c).
Lebonan's pro-Syria government resigns without violence and I'm geting Michael Jackson news coverage. It's a big blog reading morning.
Sluggo - Got you covered on Canada. Now that they've opted out of missile defense, I'd hope that a popular uprising might ensue, but not a whimper. . .
Update: Jordan falls to 5:1.
Put me down for 50 Clarke-whacks on the Iranian students for July 9th.
Saudi Arabia needs to be much longer odds. Much longer than Pakistan, I would say. I think Syria could unravel, but that is a toin coss based only on the possibility that if Lebanon flips it could reveal the Syrians as a paper regime.
Jack, good points. I just get the sense that Saudi Arabia might be more brittle than we might imagine, even with their secret police and their guardianship of the holy sites. . .
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