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$\"Gravatar\"$ Ronniev Pauliev hasn't got a chance. He also attends the wrong debates.
Snooper | Homepage | 11.15.07 - 5:54 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ \"Iran is the “Then shall stand up in his estate a raiser of taxes in the glory of the kingdom” chapter 11 verse 20\"

\"That a description of the monarchy rule of Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, Shah of Iran\"

“He shall be destroyed, neither in anger nor in battle” verse 20

\"That a description of his fall to the revolution led by Ayatollah Khomeini to replace the monarchy with a Islamic Republic controled by the mallahs.\"

\"It is that religious mallah government rule that Daniel is refering to when he says\"

“And in his estate shall stand up a vile person”

\"That vile person is the Anti-Christ\"

That is a excerpt from the May 15th Prophecy

You should do a Google search of the May 15th Prophecy

And You will see that it has been the only source that has been 100% accurate on what happening in the Middle East.

or Go to http://lastdaywatchers.blogspot.com/
leon | Homepage | 11.15.07 - 6:07 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ Leon thats twice you have spammed with that site...there will NOT be a third time....we clear?
Spree | Homepage | 11.15.07 - 6:08 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ oy
Hawk | Homepage | 11.15.07 - 6:09 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ What about what Zogby said? He predicted a NH outcome of 15-18 percent. And something tells me the fact that Paul dominates lawn signs in NH is also significant.

This could be another Dewey v Truman moment in political statistics.
jmklein | 11.15.07 - 6:36 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ 13 Polls, Totaling 39 equals 3%
Family emergency, offline for the night. Comments are Hawks, Snoopers and Beth for tonight.
Spree | Homepage | 11.15.07 - 7:02 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ What does this say about is chances, oh see'r of the future?
Jeffrey Bubb | 11.15.07 - 9:56 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ If you cannot figure out what 3% means compared to people with 10 times more than that, then it is no use explaining it to you.
spree | Homepage | 11.15.07 - 11:11 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ Hope all is well, Spree!!
Snooper | Homepage | 11.16.07 - 12:08 am | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ And is his trend up or down ?
John Ryan | 11.16.07 - 12:08 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ His average WAS 3.6%, so I will leave the \"math\" to you...it isn't difficult, just remember 2+2 always equals 4
Spree | Homepage | 11.16.07 - 12:09 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ There was an excellent expose' on RealClearPolitics early this morning outlining the problems with Ron Paul's positions and supporters, and when I went back 10 minutes later to read it more carefully, it was gone! What type of pull have the RonPaulites got over RCP?? I've looked at Ron Paul's positions and that article was dead on, so why was it removed from consideration? Is there censorship on RCP?
Rockyspoon | 11.16.07 - 12:35 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ While an interesting analysis, it doesn't appear to be a terribly valid one, due to one logical fallacy in the methadology.

That is including the October results and averaging across them, as well as the newer ones.

So, what you're really measuring here is \"early supporters\", and may or may not be reflective of any sort of reality at this time.

A valid average must take polls taken contemperaneously with one another, totalling the respondants, then averaging \"support\" responses across the number of respondants.

What I look for in poll numbers is shifts over time - \"momentum\" it is called.

Politics is an inherently volatile business, where numbers can move quickly up or down on an almost daily basis, and longer-term such as this one averages are generally meaningless.
Maz2331 | 11.16.07 - 1:19 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ Following the last two months in no way is a fallacy, you people just want to make \"excuses\" for the FACT that Paul does not hold the support of actual voters.

Get over it, the numbers don't lie even if you want to.
Spree | Homepage | 11.16.07 - 1:25 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ LEON----NO MORE I SAID---EITHER DISCUSS THE POST ITSELF OR LEAVE, I DON'T TOLERATE PREACHING NOR SPAMMING ON MY SITE--Spree

Edited By Siteowner
leon | Homepage | 11.16.07 - 1:57 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ The RPer losers are really sore losers. Reminds me of a particular political party member
Snooper | Homepage | 11.16.07 - 3:51 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ I'm too worn out to even begin to try to decypher all that bullshit and I'm damned tired of you Paulites coming in and ranting and raving.

Enough.

Edited By Siteowner
rhys | 11.16.07 - 10:09 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ ROFLMAO!!

Paultards.

Morons.

Period.

Dot.

Com.
Snooper | Homepage | 11.17.07 - 2:34 am | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ I have to disagree with the author of this article as far as the polling goes, I do concede that he is low on the normal poll, but considering where his base is, traditional polls don't really say much. One has to consider who is called on the phone. People with land line phones and voted in the last election. Paul base support comes from the young, the disenchanted voters, who are registering again, those who never voted, Republicans that are upset and disappointed with the direction of their party, and those of different small parties that are registering as republican for this election. So in all honesty no one can really say how Paul will do until it a done deal.
Davic | 11.17.07 - 10:36 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ It is already a done deal. Ronniev Pauliev hasn't a snow balls chance in hell.
Snooper | Homepage | 11.18.07 - 4:07 am | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ Looking from the outside, you Americans are crazy if you don't vote Ron Paul. You are heading in the wrong direction fast, and we, the rest of the World will follow you. ( Im in Europe )
John For America | 11.22.07 - 6:59 am | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ Hence all the fake credit card donations that came from overseas. Please try to refrain from speaking about OUR politics which YOU are not even involved in.

France has voted for a pro american president, germany has merkel, australia has howard... so save me your rhetoric which shows nothing but your ignorance.
spree | Homepage | 11.22.07 - 11:13 am | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ Another moonbat bites the dust.
Snooper | Homepage | 11.22.07 - 12:48 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ Just something to consider: many of these polls do not list Ron Paul as an option and people have to ask to include him. Many of these polls only include the \"real\" candidates - as chosen by talking heads.
Will Hayes | 11.23.07 - 3:20 am | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ Get over it Will--the \"talking heads\" you refer to are the people themselves--and Paul simply doesn't have the votes and is irrelevant. Quit spamming and address the issues--and in this case, the issue is you Pauliacs plain don't have the votes, regardless of your false inflationary attempts, for Paul to be on the ticket, in the debates or a part of the polls. As more and more comes out about his campaign, his lack of integrity and his spammers, people are distancing themselves further and further from him.
Miss Beth | Homepage | 11.23.07 - 4:01 am | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ If your TV stations were not owned by Brainwashing Tyrants. You may see things differently. Its great we can debate freely on here at least.Go Ron Paul. Go Free Speech, I respect your opinion. Respect mine, like your constitution tells you.
John For America | 11.23.07 - 4:16 am | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ If the true issue is guaging the people's support, then the validity of polls is supremely relevant. If these polls are relevant, then how do you have 1% on polls that do not mentioin Paul and 8.5% on other polls were they say the margin of error is +/- three. You must admit that there are some crappy polls out there. Taking an average is not the best approach to discerning \"true' voter sentiment.
Also, only aroun 6 percent of Republicans voted last primary for the worst Democrat since Bill Clinton: George W. Bush. Sampling this tiny neocon voter base to guage current voter sentiment is irrelevant.
Will Hayes | 11.23.07 - 10:44 am | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ Will, I guess we will see after the primaries are over. I highly doubt Paul will be the Republican candidate of choice. He has also said he will not run as a third party candidate, so I fully expect he will run the course of Ross perot... hyped and then just gone.

Face it, he isn't even considered one of the top 4 Republican candidates.

Keep dreaming.
Spree | Homepage | 11.23.07 - 10:51 am | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ JOHN---When you become an American, then you can comment about American politics here--- spam my site again and you will be banned----Spree

Edited By Siteowner
John For America | 11.23.07 - 1:15 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ JOHN---First off, it is MY site, MY rules and if you cannot follow them, then you will not comment. PERIOD. Your right to free speech does not negate MY ownership rights on this site nor does it give you a free pass to break MY rules on MY site.----Spree

Edited By Siteowner
John For America | 11.23.07 - 3:04 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ The Libertarian Party has divorced themselves from Ronniev Pauliev. How interesting is that?
Snooper | Homepage | 11.23.07 - 3:57 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ No biggie. Paul has support overseas.... these brilliant folks don't seem to understand that they don't VOTE here....LOL

Their support doesn't mean diddly.
Spree | Homepage | 11.23.07 - 3:59 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ That makes them dumber than being dumber that a box of turtle turds
Snooper | Homepage | 11.23.07 - 4:04 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ LOLOL, yup and they actually think that THEIR opinion on OUR elections should sway us to vote how THEY want us to.

What utter stupidity,
Spree | Homepage | 11.23.07 - 4:11 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ If it wasn't for the United States, those pathetic trolls would be speaking Russian right now and England would be the smallest province in the Russian Empire.
Snooper | Homepage | 11.23.07 - 6:17 pm | #

$\"Gravatar\"$ Don't forget those that would be worshiping Hitler.
Spree | Homepage | 11.23.07 - 6:19 pm | #

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