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A few more details on the rules. I didn't want to clutter the homepage with this.
First of all, we're predicting the actual winner, not picking against the spread. Just in case that wasn't clear.
Secondly, again, the goal is to accurately predict the outcome of each game, NOT to guess the team's final record. Thus, for example, suppose Notre Dame goes 8-3, losing to Michigan, USC and Tennessee. Someone who predicted they would go 9-2 by losing to Michigan and USC but beating Tennessee will finish ahead of someone who predicted they would go 8-3 by beating Michigan, USC and Tennessee but losing to Pittsburgh, BYU and Navy. Although the latter person correctly predicted the team's final record of 8-3, his/her own prediction record is a paltry 5-6, whereas the former person has a sterling 10-1 prediction record, even though he/she was off by one game in predicting the team's record. Get it? It is the contestant's prediction record that matters most.
The predicted team record will be used, however, to break ties. Thus, someone who makes two (or four, or six, etc.) offsetting mistakes will finish ahead of someone who makes an equal number of non-offsetting mistakes. For instance, our hapless 5-6 predictor in the above scenario will finish ahead of a 5-6 predictor whose six mistakes were all the same direction (i.e., he thought Notre Dame would go 2-9).
The second tiebreaker will be combined margin of victory/defeat across the 11 games.
NOTRE DAME
Pittsburgh: ND by 7
Michigan: Michigan by 13
Michigan State: ND by 17
Washington: Washington by 3
Purdue: ND by 6
USC: USC by 17
BYU: ND by 21
Tennessee: ND by 2
Navy: Navy by 1
Syracuse: ND by 10
Stanford: ND by 14
(Yes, that's right, I have Notre Dame losing to Washington and Navy, but beating Purdue and Tennessee. I am strange.)
USC
Hawaii: USC by 34
Arkansas: USC by 21
Oregon: USC by 14
Arizona State: USC by 3
Arizona: USC by 45
Notre Dame: USC by 17
Washington: USC by 35
Washington State: USC by 18
Stanford: USC by 21
Cal: USC by 10
Fresno State: USC by 14
UCLA: USC by 28
I did that in about 2 minutes, based on pretty much nothing except wild hunches, so if I am even close to being right, it will be stunning. :)
NOTRE DAME
Pittsburgh: ND by 4
Michigan: Michigan by 7
Michigan State: ND by 10
Washington: ND by 14
Purdue: Purdue by 3
USC: USC by 10
BYU: ND by 17
Tennessee: Tennessee by 3
Navy: ND by 21
Syracuse: ND by 17
Stanford: ND by 17
USC
Hawaii: USC by 20
Arkansas: USC by 24
Oregon: USC by 10
Arizona State: ASU by 3
Arizona: USC by 21
Notre Dame: USC by 10
Washington: USC by 35
Washington State: USC by 14
Stanford: USC by 17
Cal: Cal by 3
Fresno State: USC by 17
UCLA: USC by 21
USC
Hawaii: USC by 14
Arkansas: USC by 21
Oregon: USC by 13
Arizona State: USC by 7
Arizona: USC by 24
Notre Dame: USC by 10
Washington: USC by 20
Washington State: USC by 14
Stanford: USC by 7
Cal: Cal by 3
Fresno State: USC by 17
UCLA: UCLA by 7
Please note: USC has a tremendously easy schedule for a team with the title of defending champion. My guess is that they'll fall into such a rut beating (relatively) easy teams that by the time they actually have to face Cal and UCLA, they might not know what to do with themselves. If they played Cal and UCLA earlier in the season, I might have had USC winning those games ...
Notre Dame:
Pittsburgh: Pitt by 14
Michigan: ND by 7
Michigan State: MIState by 14
Washington: ND by 10
Purdue: ND by 14
USC: USC by 10
BYU: ND by 17
Tennessee: ND by 3
Navy: Navy by 10
Syracuse: ND by 12
Stanford: ND by 6
And for good measure ...
Maryland
Navy: Navy by 7
Clemson: MD by 10
WVU: WVU by 14
Wake Forest: MD by 13
Virginia: MD by 7
Temple: MD by 20
VT: VT by 17
Florida State: FSU by 14
UNC: MD by 3
BC: BC by 6
NCState: NCState by 7
Yep, another dismal year for the Terrapins. I just know we're gonna lose to Navy on Saturday, and I will have driven to Baltimore (the game is being played at M&T Stadium, the home of the Ravens) for a loss. And the idea that we can beat the 'Noles on the road is laughable. Even though we play the Mountaneers, Eagles, and the Hokies at home this year, I'm not going to hold my breath about those games, either. We'll be lucky to go the 5-6 I see this year.
ND:
Pittsburgh: ND by 6
Michigan: ND by 3
Michigan State: ND by 10
Washington: ND by 13
Purdue: ND by 7
USC: USC by 8
BYU: ND by 7
Tennessee: Tenn by 6
Navy: ND by 13
Syracuse: ND by 8
Stanford: ND by 15
Wow. I never realized what a pussy schedule SC has. I think Wyoming has a tougher schedule than they do...
ND:
Pittsburgh: ND by 2
Michigan: UM by 4
Michigan State: ND by 7
Washington: WASH by 7
Purdue: Pur by 7
USC: SC by 17
BYU: ND by 10
Tenn: Tenn by 4
Navy: ND by 25
Syracuse: ND by 6
Stanford: ND by 6
USC
Hawaii: SC by 40
Arkansas: SC by 24
Oregon: SC by 21
Arizona State: SC by 34
Arizona: SC by 24
Notre Dame: SC by 17
Washington: SC by 14
Washington State: SC by 15
Stanford: SC by 24
Cal: SC by 10
Fresno State: SC by 27
UCLA: SC by 20
ROSE BOWL: SC 30, Texas 28
Notre Dame
Pitt: ND by 11
Michigan: scUM by 9
MSU: ND by 16
Washington: ND by 26
PurWho: ND by 7
USC: ND by 2
BYU: ND by 3
Tennessee: Tenn by 14
Syracuse: ND by 15
Stanford: Stanford by 6
NOTRE DAME
Pittsburgh: ND by 5
Michigan: Michigan by 13
Michigan State: ND by 20
Washington: ND by 16
Purdue: ND by 6
USC: ND by 2,000,000
BYU: ND by 20
Tennessee: Tenn by 9
Navy: ND by 14
Syracuse: ND by 10
Stanford: ND by 24
USC
Hawaii: Hawaii by 100
Arkansas: Ark by 100
Oregon: UO by 278
Arizona State: USU by 358
Arizona: USC by 1
Notre Dame: ND by 358
Washington: UW by 2
Washington State: WSU by 97
Stanford: Stanford by 49
Cal: Cal by 87
Fresno State: Fresno by 57
UCLA: UCLA by 46
Funny to hear all the dissing on USC's schedule. While Notre Dame certainly has one of the tougher schedules in college football year in and year out, I find it interesting that Sports Illustrated picks our schedule as one of the toughest in the nation. Let's see, we play 6 home games and 6 away games. How does that compare to teams like LSU and Ohio State, which play 7-8 home games and 4 away games? We are @ND and have fucla at home, which is always tougher than ND at home and fucla at the Rose Bowl. We play the three toughest teams in the Pac-10 (besides USC) on the road (Oregon, Cal, ASU). Whereas Cal plays a team like Sacramento State, we're playing Fresno State. So, don't give me any of this weak schedule bullshit.
LOL Brian
ND: 4-7
9/3 ND at Pittsburgh (Pitt by 13)
9/10 at Michigan (Michigan by 17)
9/17 Michigan State (State by 3)
9/24 at Washington (ND by 10)
10/1 at Purdue (Purdue by 17)
10/15 USC (USC by 31)
10/22 BYU (ND by 13)
11/5 Tennessee (Vols by 10)
11/12 Navy (ND by 23)
11/19 Syracuse (ND by 20)
11/26 at Stanford (Furd by 1)
Welcome to college football, Charlie Weis.
USC: 13-0
9/3 at Hawaii (USC by 41)
9/17 Arkansas (USC by 23)
9/24 at Oregon (USC by 24)
10/1 at Arizona State (USC by 13)
10/8 Arizona (USC by 28)
10/15 at Notre Dame (USC by 31)
10/22 at Washington (USC by 42)
10/29 Washington State (USC by 34)
11/5 Stanford (USC by 21)
11/12 at California (USC by 12)
11/19 Fresno State (USC by 19)
12/3 UCLA (USC by 10)
Rose Bowl: USC 48, Louisville 28
3-Pete
NOTRE DAME
Pittsburgh: Pitt by 4
Michigan: Michigan by 23
Michigan State: ND by 6
Washington: ND by 13
Purdue: Purdue by 28
USC: USC by 21
BYU: ND by 10
Tennessee: Tenn by 14
Navy: ND by 9
Syracuse: ND by 6
Stanford: ND by 6
USC
Hawaii: USC by 27
Arkansas: USC by 20
Oregon: USC by 24
Arizona State: USC by 13
Arizona: USC by 42
Notre Dame: USC by 21
Washington: USC by 12
Washington State: USC by 6
Stanford: USC by 24
Cal: USC by 13
Fresno State: USC by 3
UCLA: USC by 28
USC
Hawaii - USC by 35
Arkansas - USC by 24
Oregon - USC by 21
Arizona State - USC by 17
Arizona - USC by 13
Notre Dame - USC by 14
Washington - USC by 28
Washington State - USC by 17
Stanford - USC by 14
California - USC by 10
Fresno State - USC by 28
UCLA - USC by 7
Bonus Prediction: Rose Bowl - USC over Oklahoma by 14 (USC 35, OU 21)
Andrew, how in the hell do you figure that Weis' pro experience wont translate into success in CFB? The converse is definitly true (Spurrier), but this is ridiculous. Its like saying the Patriots cant beat USCum. Illogical.
Will ND go undefeated, no. Will ND compete for the title, no. Will they be a much improved team bc of Weis, yes.
Also, if you truly believe Weis will have a rough introduction to CFB, wouldnt the same be true for Wanks-that at Pitt? Only, he sucked in Chicago, sucked in MIA. At least Weis had a good run in the NFL. I think you should revise your predictions.
ND:
Pitt: ND by 3
Michigan: Michigan by 10
Michigan State: ND by 14
Washington: ND by 35
Purdue: Purdue by 21
USC: USC by 1
BYU: ND by 28
Tennessee: ND by 7
Navy: ND by 14
Syracuse: ND by 35
Stanford: ND by 3
ND:
Pitt: ND by 10
Michigan: Michigan by 7
MSU: ND by 17
Wash: Wash. by 3
Purdue: ND by 6
USC: ND by 3
BYU: ND by 10
Tennessee: Tennessee by 14
Navy: ND by 7
Syracuse: Syracuse by 10
Stanford: ND by 24
Go Irish.
It's got nothing to do with Weis' supposed offensive genius. Pete Carroll's first year at USC was 6-6, with the team coming off a 5-7 season. Similarly, Notre Dame is coming off a bad season, loses a lot of key defensive players, and will likely continue to struggle at least through this year. Next year may be a different story, with Brady Quinn having a full year under his belt in Weis' system. Remember Carson Palmer had trouble adapting to Norm Chow until his second season under Chow.
I predict Pitt will be alright because it's easier to come in and tighten up the defense right away than it is to install an offense. Weis may be an offensive genius, but it will take minimum half the season to get there, and the ND defense is a big unknown with a lot of inexperienced players at key positions. With that kind of schedule, I see ND struggling, but I think Pitt will be alright provided Wannstedt (sp?) at Pitt doesn't tinker with the offense significantly. The Pitt QB is much further along than is the ND QB.
ND picked a bad year to rebuild. It's going to be brutal for them this year, just like last year was for Nebraska.
NOTRE DAME
Pittsburgh: Pitt by 10
Michigan: Michigan by 15
Michigan State: ND by 4
Washington: ND by 6
Purdue: Purdue by 11
USC: USC by 8
BYU: ND by 3
Tennessee: Tenn by 16
Navy: ND by 3
Syracuse: ND by 7
Stanford: Stan by 4
USC
Hawaii: USC by 28
Arkansas: USC by 11
Oregon: Org by 3
Arizona State: USC by 3
Arizona: USC by 20
Notre Dame: USC by 8
Washington: USC by 10
Washington State: USC by 13
Stanford: USC by 10
Cal: Cal by 7
Fresno State: USC by 6
UCLA: USC by 7
I grew up a Notre Dame fan, and found myself going to USC - how did that happen? Go Irijans!
USC
Hawaii: USC by 24
Arkansas: USC by 17
Oregon: USC by 14
Arizona State: USC by 1
Arizona: Arizona by 3
Notre Dame: USC by 27
Washington: USC by 35
Washington State: USC by 10
Stanford: USC by 31
Cal: Cal by 7
Fresno State: USC by 17
UCLA: USC by 24
NOTRE DAME
Pittsburgh: ND by 14
Michigan: Michigan by 17
Michigan State: Mich St by 3
Washington: UW by 7
Purdue: Purdue by 21
USC: USC by 27
BYU: ND by 7
Tennessee: UT by 24
Navy: ND by 17
Syracuse: ND by 7
Stanford: ND by 10
ND 9-2
I'm being lazy here
1. ND (+10)
2. Mich. (+10)
3. ND (+7)
4. ND (+20)
5. ND (+3)
6. U.S.C. (+14)
7. N.D. (+21)
8. N.D. (+7)
9. N.D. (+7)
10. N.D. (+10)
11. N.D. (+10)
I hope SC loses everyone of its games.
Well, despite knowing virtually nothing about college football, Brendan's asked me to to enter, so here are my wild guesses given that I don't even know how teams are projected to do at the moment:
Notre Dame: 5-6
Pitt: Pitt by 4
Michigan: Michigan by 10
Mich St: ND by 6
UW: ND by 10
Purdue: Purdue by 12
USC: USC by 17
BYU: ND by 14
Tenn: Tenn by 7
Navy: ND by 2
Syracuse: ND by 8
Stanford: Stanford by 3 (highly unrealistic, but hey, we're a good spoiler school)
USC: 12-0
Hawaii: USC by 30
Arkansas: USC by 26
Oregon: USC by 14
Arizona St: USC by 17
Arizona: USC by 35
ND: USC by 17
UW: USC by 35 (sorry David)
Wash St: USC by 20
Stanford: USC by 7 (we're not THAT good of a spoiler school)
Cal: USC by 8
Fresno St: USC by 28
(f)UCLA: USC by 14
NOTRE DAME
Pittsburgh: ND by 5
Michigan: Michigan by 12
Michigan State: ND by 8
Washington: ND by 20
Purdue: Purdue by 23
USC: USC by 31
BYU: BYU by 4
Tennessee: ND by 6
Navy: ND by 14
Syracuse: Syracuse by 20
Stanford: ND by 13
USC
Hawaii: USC by 33
Arkansas: USC by 22
Oregon: USC by 15
Arizona State: USC by 20
Arizona: USC by 37
Notre Dame: USC by 32
Washington: USC by 15
Washington State: USC by 30
Stanford: USC by 23
Cal: USC by 11
Fresno State: USC by 25
UCLA: USC by 21
Unfortunately, I don't know USC all that well, but I have seen the Fighting Irish and my Spartans of Michigan State play for a while now, so I feel better qualified to give you my thoughts on the ND season. Here are my predictions and GO STATE!
RECORD: 6 - 5
Pittsburgh - ND +3
Michigan - MI +10
MSU - MSU +10 (GO STATE!!)
Washington - ND +10 (Beat T-Dub!)
Purdue - PURDUE +7
USC - USC +14
BYU - ND +7
Tennessee - TENN +10
Navy - ND +14
Syracuse - ND +10
Stanford - ND +7
Andrew, puh-leeze. USC has to face such powerhouses as Fresno State, Arkansas, and Stanford. My God! How ever will they survive?!?!?
I mean Maryland has a tougher schedule this year, having to play the 'Noles, BC, and UNC in back-to-back weeks. Not to mention VT and Navy. The only "easy" game we have this year is against Temple! We don't even have the luxury of playing Duke anymore!
Andrew, even if your precious Trojans go undefeated this year, who will they have beaten? Almost no one of any great consequence. If (when) they win the Rose Bowl, they will have won one tough game.
(... And now all of Brendan's college friends will bum rush me)
ND: (6-5)
Pitt: Pitt by 6
Michigan: Michigan by 3
Michigan State: ND by 7
Washington: ND by 13
Purdue: Purdue by 10
USC: USC by 24
BYU: ND by 13
Tennessee: Tennessee by 18
Navy: ND by 17
Syracuse: ND by 12
Stanford: ND by 10
USC: (11-1)
Hawaii: USC by 30
Arkansas: USC by 24
Oregon: USC by 18
Arizona State: ASU by 6 (pride of the southwest!)
Arizona: USC by 31
Notre Dame: USC by 24
Washington: USC by 47
Washington State: USC by 13
Stanford: USC by 58
California: USC by 3
Fresno State: USC by 10
UCLA: USC by 13
ND:
Pitt: ND by 7
MI: ND by 3
MSU: ND by 4
UW: ND by 17
Purdue: ND by 3
USC: ND by 1
BYU: ND by 6
Tenn: Tenn by 3
Navy: ND by 14
Syr: Syr by 6
Stanford: ND by 7
USC:
Hawaii: USC by 21
Ark: USC by 17
Ore: USC by 12
ASU: USC by 3
AZ: USC by 24
ND: ND by 1
WA: USC by 18
Wazzu: USC by 7
Stanford: USC by 13
Cal: Cal by 2
Fresno St: USC by 9
UCLA: UCLA by 6
NOTRE DAME (8 - 3)
Pittsburgh: ND by 7
Michigan: Michigan by 15
Michigan State: ND by 16
Washington: ND by 3
Purdue: ND by 3
USC: USC by 24
BYU: ND by 14
Tennessee: Tenn by 9
Navy: ND by 17
Syracuse: ND by 14
Stanford: ND by 9
teehee!
ND:
Pitt: ND by 7
Michigan: ND by 7
Michigan State: ND by 7
Washington: ND by 14
Purdue: ND by 3
USC: ND by 14
BYU: ND by 10
Tennessee: ND by 21
Navy: ND by 10
Syracuse: ND by 21
Stanford: ND by 14
USC:
Hawaii: USC by 21
Arkansas: USC by 21
Oregon: USC by 7
Arizona State: USC by 3
Arizona: USC by 13
Notre Dame: USC by 14
Washington: USC by 21
Washington State: USC by 10
Stanford: USC by 24
California: USC by 3
Fresno State: USC by 17
UCLA: USC by 10
First off, I'd just like to say something to Andrew: Notre Dame doesn't have one of the tougher schedules in football--we have THE TOUGHEST schedule in football--3 of the top 5 teams.
USC
Hawaii: USC by 20
Arkansas: USC by 23
Oregon: USC by 17
Arizona State: USC by 3
Arizona: USC by 30
Notre Dame: ND by 3
Washington: USC by 38
Washington St: USC by 21
Stanford: USC by 10
Cal: Cal by 7
Fresno St: USC by 7
UCLA: USC by 14
Notre Dame:
Pitt: ND by 10
Michigan: UM by 7
Michigan St: ND by 14
Washington: ND by 20
Purdue: PU by 3
USC: ND by 3
BYU: ND by 14
Tennessee: ND by 7
Navy: ND by 20
Syracuse: ND by 14
Stanford: ND by 10
USC - 12-0
Hawaii (45)
Arkansas (19)
Oregon (13)
Az St. (4)
Arizona (22)
Notre Dame (the soon to be 4 peat of 31 of course)
Washington (25)
Wash St. (16)
Stanford (14)
California (9)
Fresno State (5)
UCLA (19)
I will leave the ND contest to the others...
Notre Dame
Pitt: ND by 5
Michigan: scUM by 2
MSU: ND by 7
Washington: ND by 14
PurWho: ND by 17
USC: ND by 2
BYU: ND by 13
Tennessee: Tenn by 3
Syracuse: ND by 15
Stanford: ND by 6
USC
Hawaii: USC by 21
Arkansas: USC by 14
Oregon: USC by 7
ASU: USC by 10
Arizona: USC by 17
Notre Dame: USC by 21
Washington: USC by 14
WSU: USC by 10
Stanford: USC by 17
Cal: USC by 3
Fresno State: USC by 17
UCLA: USC by 24
hmm, a little overconfident maybe...
OMG...Andrew and I actually agree on something....the USC-ND score!!
NOTRE DAME
Pitt: ND by 3
Michigan: ND by 3
State: ND by 21
Washington: ND by 17
Purdue: ND by 7
USC: USC by 14
BYU: ND by 11
TN: ND by 6
Navy: ND by a billion
Syracuse: ND by 7
Stanford: ND by 10
USC
Rot in hell
nug, you do realize you made mutually contradictory predictions, right? It seems unlikely that USC and ND will both beat the other by 14 points during the same game...
too late to enter, but just like to add my one prediction
UW vs Notre Dame
UW by 7
(oh yeah and USC will threepeat, losing to MAYBE cal)
Josh, Fresno State might not be a traditional power house but they are a tough team these days, and the Pac-10 is one of the toughest conferences because you have a lot of teams on par with each other, which leads to each team losing a few each year and missing out on better rankings.
the Pac-10 is one of the toughest conferences because you have a lot of teams on par with each other, which leads to each team losing a few each year and missing out on better rankings.
That may be, but when USC plays teams like Oklahoma, Texas, and Auburn for their out-of-conference games, then I'll grant them the title of "NCAA Champions."
Without playoffs, I'm going to pick on USC until they get a tougher schedule. Period.
Josh, I'm not going to argue that the Pac-10 is the nation's toughest conference. But...
when USC plays teams like Oklahoma, Texas, and Auburn for their out-of-conference games, then I'll grant them the title of "NCAA Champions."
Umm... USC did play Auburn on its out-of-conference schedule in 2002 and 2003, beating them handily both times, including once at Auburn when Auburn was in the Top 10 and considered a legitimate national-title contender. And Oklahoma? They were on USC's schedule last year. It didn't go well for the Sooners. So get a grip. USC's schedule may not be the toughest schedule in the nation (nor do they have the easiest, by any means), but to claim they don't deserve the championships they won the last two years is ludicrous. At most, you can argue that Auburn should have been a co-champion in 2004-05, as LSU was in 2003-04. I will agree with you that Auburn wuz robbed, that we should have a playoff so they would have had the chance to play USC on the field (and lose to them). But under the system as it not stands, you cannot argue that USC didn't earn those titles, or at least co-titles, without revealing yourself as a hopeless anti-Pac-10 partisan.
P.S. Speaking of teams with oh-so-tough out-of-conference schedules... I trust Texas, a team you cited above, got a much-needed tune-up against powerhouse Louisiana-Lafeyette yesterday. It should get them ready for the hard battle against Rice.
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